Saturday, November 07, 2009

Will Piracy Finally Be Attacked?

The international reaction to the rampant piracy from the Somali coast has been weak, to say the least. Various countries are escorting ships, and occasionally intercepting pirates, but no one seems comfortable with what to do with the pirates, and unless they're chased into the waters of a country that will deal with them effectively it seems they are really just released.

Spain caught and jailed some pirates for their attempt on a ship in the Indian Ocean. Now, Somali pirates are threatening the lives of some hostages unless those jailed are released.

Releasing pirates rightfully jailed would send a horrible message to criminals everywhere. Waiting could sentence the pirates hostages to death. The piracy coming from Somali needs to be swiftly and decisively ended with all military force necessary.

Saturday, September 12, 2009

Why the Mac Tablet won't kill ebook readers

Excitement over the yet-to-be Mac Tablet has made some suggest it may kill off ebook readers. Here's why it won't, and why we'll see changes in ebook readers in the coming years.

At present, ebook readers are fairly new. There are varying file formats, you may even have to pay to put your own content on, and the lines between content provider (books) and hardware supplier (ebook reader) is blurred. That will go the way of AOL vs. Compuserve. It's a ridiculous model and when ebook readers move beyond the niche publishers won't need to stand for that. Plus, they'll see the economic benefit of being nice to the consumer (otherwise they'll just buy someone else's book), and being 'cross platform' compatible, or more accurately, not crippled by greedy, unnecessary file formats just created to make products only work in one place.

Hardware manufacturers of ebook readers (even if they're not physically making them, that's the game they're in - the control over content is a fleeting possession), such as Sony, Amazon, etc. are trying to augment their ebook readers to increase profit margins and secure market control. We're seeing wifi, 3G, gigantic sizes, etc. These things will matter less and less, as well.

To see why, look at portable DVD players. You can certainly play DVDs on a laptop, and then you'd have so many more options. You could rip and store, do interactive stuff that requires a network connection, tweet about the movie, whatever. And yet, no one considers buying a laptop as a portable DVD player. Portable DVD players do what they are supposed to do well enough, inexpensively and easily. For $150 or less you can get a great portable DVD player that your 5 year old can operate on their own. It does enough, is probably more rugged than a laptop, and is at least a third of the price and half the size.

Expect to see ebook readers standardized. There will be higher end ones, just like you can get an iPod if you want rather than one of the dozens of other MP3 players. But just as you can get a 2GB MP3 player for $10-20, so you'll be able to buy ebook readers that will work perfectly well and be dirt cheap. A $2000+ tablet computer will have as much to do with this as a laptop does to a portable DVD player.

Sunday, August 23, 2009

The Life You Could Have, Brought to You by Pharma

AMC's Mad Man follows the professional, and increasingly, the personal lives of employees of a 1960s advertising agency, Sterling Cooper. Watching the show you get to see the transformation of advertising, not just in obvious ways, like focusing more on television. You also get to see the transformation of ads from being about convincing you to buy a product because it's useful or needed to convincing you that a product is a necessary element in the life you'd like to put yourself into. Ads of this sort may have existed since the dawn of advertising, but over time nearly all advertising became about showing you the life you think you need or deserve.

In Season 2 Episode 7 Senior Partner Bertam Cooper says to Harry Crane, head of Television "People buy things to realize their aspirations. Its the foundation of our business."

This is what advertising is all about. This is why in car ads you see amazingly little about the car and lots about it speeding through mountains, or being the emblem of your political beliefs, or making you a good parent. Beer ads tell you that you can't drink beer from an unlabeled glass or mug. That label is who you are. Are you a serious beer drinker? Are you into the finer things made in small batches? Are you an athlete, and you care about your body?

One of the most interesting examples of aspirational advertising today is seen in pharma. Pharmaceutical companies and their advertising agencies walk an incredible tight rope, selling their product, promoting their product, within the laws of the United States. While few pharma companies or their agencies would say that the drugs they're offering fall under the umbrella of lifestyle, they simply are. The fair balance, or disclaimers in pharma ads are getting increasingly longer, particularly noticeable on TV. While this has occured ads have transformed from having fair balance read at the end of an ad in auctioneer speed to having it integrated into the ad. This is especially noticeable in ads for drugs that most easily would be classified as lifestyle. Birthcontrol ads have tremendously long fair balance, as they are very dangerous.

In a recent TV pharma ad for Yaz, a birth control drug, a woman is at a rooftop party, and she says “You may have seen some Yaz commercials recently that were not clear. The FDA wants us to correct a few points in those ads.” This ad is in response to a couple of ad compaigns the FDA found to be deceptive, which resulted in $616 million in sales in 2008.

The entire ad is fair balance, where in all likelihood you don't hear a word of what she's saying. What you see is the party, the wealth, the youth and beautfy. This is the aspiration you'd like to realize, and this ad tells you which color pill to take. Take it and there's a statistical risk of something or other, maybe the drug even does something your doctor would perscribe it for, but more importantly, you'll be a rooftop party type of person. There's cautionary language but it's all long winded, medical stuff. Of course you'll still remember the claims that it helps with acne, pms and various other issues, if you care about any of that at all.

In another ad for Levitra, a heart medication, an aging baby boomer tells us he was surprised to have a heart attack when he was just 57. What follows is a view into his life now, where he looks like he's living a peaceful, relaxing, fun life, but he looks frail and prematurely old. He doesn't seem like a 57 year old. More like a 70 year old. Then he's talking to you again, looking into the camera, and he cautions you not to make the same mistake he made. Somewhere in that ad fair balance was yammering on in the background. What you remember is he was surprised to have had a heart attack, and if he had just taken Levitra he would have been alright.

It's no surprise that birthcontrol is a lifestyle drug, but making heart medicine something you'd want to start taking even if you didn't really need it is pretty incredible. Both of these manage to read all the required fair balance as if it's music during a silent movie. And in those movies you see the life you'd like to be yours, your aspirations. Packaged and sold to you.

Tuesday, June 30, 2009

Windows vs Ubuntu

I used Ubuntu almost exclusively for... had to be at least a year. Then I bought a laptop that I specifically made sure would run Ubuntu well, and it had a clean install of XP on it. I decided to give it another try. There are things that didn't work ideally in Ubuntu, some programs that wouldn't work outside of Windows.

Here's the breakdown of things in favor of XP:

Skype
Just works. On Linux sound issues were not uncommon. I just need it to work. If I'm needed on a Skype conference not being on could cost business.

Flash
Just works. On Linux it's not always the most up to date version, and some things work and some don't.

Digsby
I really like this program, and it doesn't work on Linux.

Surprises
Sometimes clients want me to join on Webex or use their VPN software or something where I either really need Windows or it will take some cleverness on my part. Prefer to play it safe than try to be clever.

See what others are seeing
We make websites. The majority of people use Windows, particularly IE. I need to see what others see before they see it, not as a small percentage of cross browser testing.

Blackberry software
Doesn't run on Linux and allows me to backup and load stuff onto my Blackberry.

Games, Quickbooks, etc
Some software just won't run on Linux.

I certainly have experienced things that are not ideal in XP:

Development
Setting up a dev server is too complicated.

Command line
Being able to do a lot of work from the CLI in Ubuntu is just great, and you know stuff will just be there.

Installing software and updates
Installing software in Ubuntu is insanely easy and doing updates is similarly easy.

Rebooting
Ubuntu doesn't tell you it's shutting down and then boot you out, either.

Slow downs, viruses, trojans, failures
Ubuntu isn't perfect, but honestly, XP just has a plague of problems compared to Ubuntu. The system will slow down, you'll have to battle viruses and trojans, and most lately my trackpad and eraser pointer are occasionally not working.


Next Steps
I'm cleaning up the machine. Erasing all the unnecessary files I had. Then backing up data I needed. I'll install Ubuntu and put VMWare on it to run XP. I'd like to make an image of my current system so I don't have to buy another license. Will look into that.

Friday, June 19, 2009

Iran, elections and visibility

It's no great surprise that Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the actual leader of Iran, came back to say that the recent election was legitimate, even after he and the others of the ruling council scrutinized it. If they had said otherwise they would have been saying that they had been complicit in any wrong doings, since they control so much of the electoral process. He ordered the people of Iran not to protest, and said it couldn't have been rigged because of the huge difference in votes. Apparently he thinks it's possible to rig a small number of votes, but not a large one.

The central issue to this whole situation is not who got elected. Even if your candidate doesn't win, life usually goes on. It comes down to visibility, reliability, believability. The people of Iran don't have confidence in the honesty of their government. They don't trust them. There are no checks and balances, just orders to obey.

The people of Iran are smart and resourceful. Even without the benefit of knowing anything else about them, about their thousands of years of history, the infrastructure they've built in their country, or the passion and intellectual curiosity of it's people, it's clear that they're willing to risk being beaten horribly or worse to have a voice and to know that that voice is really heard, not just manipulated.

Iran is on the verge of revolution, and it has nothing to do with Jewish people (despite Khamenei's accusation), or America or any outside influence. If your people are revolutionary, militarily or otherwise (and Iranians are both militarily and otherwise) you should expect them to cause revolutions. Not including them, treating them like children, trying to force them to accept things and telling them they asked for it, is a really bad move.

Tuesday, June 09, 2009

looks like another Facebook virus is out. Either that or ppl are a lot friendlier with me than I had thought.

Saturday, June 06, 2009

Billshrink (http://ping.fm/eBDEs), promoted on T-Mobile ads. Anyone try it? Reliable? Made recommendations to me to save thousands.